| EBay
has strong start in holiday shopping A longtime
owner of a jewelry store in St. Clair, Mich., Patrick
Coughlin viewed the hype about Black Friday and Cyber
Monday as so much marketing hooey. Then he tried selling
on eBay.
Coughlin was expecting a couple of hundred shoppers.
But on Monday more than 1,000 mobbed his virtual store.
"I was so skeptical," he said. "We didn't
have any specials." Next year, he said, he'll be
ready.
The annual post-Thanksgiving kickoff to the holiday
shopping season brought more than 7 million shoppers
to eBay's site, making it the most popular online shopping
destination in the United States, according to Nielsen/NetRatings.
More important, the success sent a signal to eBay's
beleaguered management team that its efforts to rebalance
the mix between items sold on the auction site and those
sold on eBay stores were finally paying off after a
monumental misstep last January.
EBay spokesman Hani Durzy said managers are "optimistic"
they have turned a corner, though it is too early in
the holiday shopping season to know for sure.
The error that nearly sent eBay into a tailspin was
a decision, announced Jan. 18, to include items from
eBay's 383,000-plus online stores at the end of search
results on eBay.com.
"It's a win/win for everyone," Bill Cobb,
president of eBay North America, said in announcing
the shift. That turned out not to be true.
While owners of some online stores saw sales arc upward,
data analysts in eBay's vast computer centers quickly
noticed a troubling trend. Would-be buyers were abandoning
eBay in droves.
It turned out eBay shoppers didn't want to sift through
3,000 search results for a video game or a Star Wars
Pez dispenser or an old comic. "It degraded the
buyer experience," Durzy said.
Less than two months later, eBay reversed the change,
but the auction site remained sluggish. And eBay paid
for the mistake on Wall Street, with its stock sliding
more than 50 percent, from a high of $47.86 on Jan.
19 to a low of $22.83 on Aug. 3.
On Aug. 22, eBay raised prices for store owners to
encourage them to list more items on the auction site.
According to Cobb, only 9 percent of eBay's sales came
from the stores -- as opposed to auctions -- and the
fees paid by store owners didn't cover eBay's cost for
hosting the stores.
Analysts began to note improvement. John Aiken, of
Majestic Research, said revenue per listing has begun
to accelerate after a period of decline. "It is
definitely in the right direction," Aiken said.
"The fee change has been very, very effective."
EBay closed at $32.32 Wednesday, and the consensus
among Wall Street analysts is that its shares could
rise to $34 by the end of the year.
"I think they are doing better than they were,
but I don't think that's a hard and fast rule,"
said Jay Ferguson of Ferguson Andrews Investment Advisors.
Ferguson said he owns eBay but is not planning to buy
more unless the price drops. In addition, Ferguson said
he wants to see what happens in the competition between
PayPal and the Google Checkout service launched this
year.
"PayPal is your rocket fuel," Ferguson said.
Scot Wingo, chief executive of ChannelAdvisor, which
provides auction management software, said PayPal continues
to be plagued by phishers, bad guys who have been able
to defraud people via fake e-mails that use a person's
eBay auction ID.
However, Wingo said a recent decision by eBay to hide
bidders' IDs for items over $200 had "almost eliminated
phishing." EBay has also launched a crackdown on
sellers of counterfeit goods.
Wingo said he believes that eBay's efforts to fight
fraud have had an even bigger impact than its effort
to rebalance the marketplace.
"We are seeing a 5 to 10 percent increase in conversion
for most of our sellers," Wingo said. "There
are a lot of buyers feeling good about the marketplace
now."
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